Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
💸🌍
Forecast With GiveWell
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many MPs will the "Independent Group" have after the next UK general election?
Resolved :
0
7.12
39 forecasters
1
28 comments
28
Will Mark Latham be a member of One Nation on the 1st of January 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
69%
57 forecasters
6 comments
6
How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?
Labour
411
Conservative
121
Scottish National Party
9
8 others
16
68 comments
68
Will the UK have a Labour government before June 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
110 forecasters
6
13 comments
13
Will the UK Labour Party have a female leader before 2030?
15%
63 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?
Resolved :
No
55%
59 forecasters
5
15 comments
15
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election?
Labour Party
33.7
Green Party of England and Wales
6.4
Reform UK
14.3
3 others
7
11 comments
11