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Will the total yield across all countries' nuclear stockpiles at the end of 2029 exceed 10,000Mt?
25%
20 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
When will total worldwide nuclear disarmament occur?
2201-01-14
12 forecasters
7
1 comment
1
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
51%
60 forecasters
6
13 comments
13
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)
Resolved :
Yes
20 forecasters
if yes
if no
New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
54%
54%
New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
40%
40%
Resolved :
Annulled
40%
3
10 comments
10
2024 Electoral Consequences