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13 comments
35 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

20%chance
7% today

Key Factors

5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
135 comments
313 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

48%chance

Key Factors

22 comments
45 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate
>2193 deaths
1 comment
17 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

33.3%chance
4 comments
18 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

40%chance
45% this week
6 comments
11 forecasters

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

34%chance
46% this week
2 comments
5 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?

Current estimate
433k vehicles
4 comments
5 forecasters

How many nations will be net zero emissions on January 1st 2035?

Current estimate
2.93 Nations
1 comment
10 forecasters

Will an AI created song chart on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

90%chance
18% this week