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If Russia detonates a nuclear device offensively before 2024, which cities will be ongoing battlegrounds at that time?
Sevastopol
Annulled
Luhansk city
Annulled
Dzhankoi
Annulled
8 others
15
20 comments
20
Red Lines in Ukraine
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?
Resolved :
No
1%
862 forecasters
49
1k comments
1k
Will Ukraine have de facto control of the city council building in Melitopol on January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.2%
115 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
condition
Ukraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023?
Resolved :
No
20 forecasters
if yes
if no
Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030
20%
20%
Resolved :
Annulled
Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030
3%
3%
2
no comments
0
condition
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
Resolved :
No
16 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date Putin Exits Presidency of Russia
Feb 2028
Resolved :
Annulled
Date Putin Exits Presidency of Russia
Mar 2029
9
no comments
0
condition
Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024?
Resolved :
No
48 forecasters
if yes
if no
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
20%
20%
Resolved :
Annulled
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved :
No
6
no comments
0
condition
Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2024?
Resolved :
No
29 forecasters
if yes
if no
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved :
Annulled
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved :
No
3
no comments
0
Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?
Nova Kakhovka
9%
Polohy
4%
Tokmak
4%
11 others
19
18 comments
18
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
222 forecasters
20
126 comments
126