Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?
Resolved :
3
3
124 forecasters
15
33 comments
33
Economist 2021
When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
2021-12-31
67 forecasters
6
34 comments
34
Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?
Resolved :
No
34%
82 forecasters
12
21 comments
21
Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
85%
229 forecasters
32
45 comments
45
What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates?
March 30, 2024
22.5
December 30, 2023
19.2
6
43 comments
43
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Update: the variants vs. the vaccines
no comments
0
The new variants and the next phase of the pandemic
no comments
0