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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
81%
Haiti
70%
Mali
61%
70 others
30
82 comments
82
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025
No
2026
4%
2028
21%
2 others
77
364 comments
364
The Taiwan Tinderbox
How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?
11.7 countries
49 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
65%
1260 forecasters
21
37 comments
37
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
41%
984 forecasters
108
202 comments
202
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?
2025
No
2030
40%
2035
60%
9
5 comments
5
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
60%
168 forecasters
17
33 comments
33
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
19.8%
77 forecasters
5
11 comments
11
The Taiwan Tinderbox
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
4.91 states
94 forecasters
22
43 comments
43
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
80%
164 forecasters
30
48 comments
48
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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