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When will Virgin Galactic's first paid flight occur?

Resolved :Jun 2023Dec 2020

9

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

129 forecasters

15

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

5

Regulation of AI

Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?

16

Will a Fortune 500 Global non-tech company train a frontier AI model before 2026?

Resolved :Yes7%

4

Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?

458 forecasters

57

Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

1

Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?

3

Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?

9

What will be the population living on Mars in 2050?

113 forecasters

18