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Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?
0.1%
97 forecasters
10
3 comments
3
Will there be a US-China war before 2035?
9%
432 forecasters
40
33 comments
33
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?
Resolved :
No
119 forecasters
10
2 comments
2
Will we find the remains of missing Malaysia Air flight 370 by summer's end?
Resolved :
No
127 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
Will Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 be found in 2019?
Resolved :
No
83 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Will there be deadly conflict in the South China Sea in 2020?
Resolved :
No
91 forecasters
20
22 comments
22
Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024?
Resolved :
No
294 forecasters
33
31 comments
31
Nuclear Risk Tournament
What will be the number of conflicts with critical impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?
Resolved :
6
24 forecasters
7
9 comments
9
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
44.5%
76 forecasters
17
15 comments
15
Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024?
Resolved :
No
68 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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