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Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018?
Resolved :
No
4%
227 forecasters
32
18 comments
18
Will SpaceX Starship (with or without a booster) reach space before 2021?
Resolved :
No
57%
56 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
2021-08-26
36 forecasters
11
19 comments
19
When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
2021-09-26
97 forecasters
20
40 comments
40
When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers?
Resolved :
Nov 18, 2023
2023-11-27
165 forecasters
29
135 comments
135
When will SpaceX first successfully catch a Starship booster with the tower?
Resolved :
Oct 13, 2024
2024-10-16
32 forecasters
5
17 comments
17
condition
Starship Reaches Orbit in 2024?
Resolved :
No
30 forecasters
if yes
if no
Starship Booster Tower Catch Attempt in 2024?
88%
88%
Resolved :
Annulled
88%
Starship Booster Tower Catch Attempt in 2024?
70%
70%
Resolved :
Yes
70%
4
5 comments
5
Conditional Cup