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Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
55%
401 forecasters
34
98 comments
98
AGI Outcomes
After a weak AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent oracle?
20.5
233 forecasters
44
36 comments
36
AGI Outcomes
Ragnarรถk Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
52%
233 forecasters
21
13 comments
13
Ragnarรถk Series
Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?
90%
136 forecasters
28
9 comments
9
AGI Outcomes
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
34.7
290 forecasters
34
47 comments
47
AGI Outcomes
Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?
1%
16 forecasters
-3
5 comments
5
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
Closed
1%
121 forecasters
16
10 comments
10
Business of AI
Will transformative AI come with a bang?
13
5 comments
5
AI Progress Essay Contest
Leverage AI-centric to AGI and ASI-centric beyond Moore's Law
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec
2 comments
2
AI Progress Essay Contest
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