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If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
61%
348 forecasters
20
25 comments
25
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
34%
955 forecasters
105
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?
-2.18
15 forecasters
6
2 comments
2
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?
4%
257 forecasters
34
40 comments
40
The Taiwan Tinderbox
When will Taiwan reduce COVID restrictions from Level 3?
Resolved :
Jul 27, 2021
25 forecasters
5
17 comments
17
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
80%
161 forecasters
30
47 comments
47
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
44.5%
76 forecasters
17
15 comments
15
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
52%
157 forecasters
17
33 comments
33
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations
13
2 comments
2
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15%
76 forecasters
7
25 comments
25
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