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Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

295 forecasters

28

Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?

3

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

276 forecasters

24

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

136 forecasters

12

Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?

475 forecasters

47

Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?

433 forecasters

55

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

136 forecasters

25

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

11

Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?

Resolved :No35%

198 forecasters

87

AI Demonstrations

Will a full prototype car be unveiled at the Tesla Model 3 event on March 31?

Resolved :Yes90%

11