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Will MDMA be FDA-approved for the treatment of PTSD before 2025?
1%
89 forecasters
15
37 comments
37
Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?
Resolved :
No
149 forecasters
21
8 comments
8
In the year ending in November 2nd, 2020, will the combined U.S. investment in psychedelics research and psychedelics-focused startups exceed $100M?
Resolved :
No
100 forecasters
11
8 comments
8
Foresight 2020 Contest
Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?
7%
54 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?
53%
46 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?
67%
26 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?
8.53
15 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?
70%
55 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Ragnarรถk Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
46.9%
77 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Ragnarรถk Series
Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
159 forecasters
18
36 comments
36
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
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