Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?
Resolved :
No
1%
74 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
What will be the voter turnout in the European Parliament election 2019?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
42.9
54 forecasters
4
24 comments
24
How many seats will the EPP get for the EU Parliament election, 2019?
Resolved :
182
173
37 forecasters
2
14 comments
14
How many seats will the S&D get for the EU Parliament election, 2019?
Resolved :
154
145
35 forecasters
2
7 comments
7
Will the current coalition (i.e. EPP, S&D, and ALDE) continue after the EU Parliament election, 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
55%
46 forecasters
4
40 comments
40
How many seats will the various eurosceptic groups collectively achieve for the EU Parliament election, 2019?
Resolved :
227
238
41 forecasters
3
18 comments
18
Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt?
Resolved :
Yes
85%
58 forecasters
8
20 comments
20
When will the European Union cease to exist?
2104-08-30
17 forecasters
10
13 comments
13
condition
War in Europe by 2153?
4 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date EU Ceases to Exist?
2112-03-06
Date EU Ceases to Exist?
2144-07-03
3
no comments
0
condition
European Army before 2032?
2 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date EU Ceases to Exist?
2142-01-03
Date EU Ceases to Exist?
2142-10-26
2
no comments
0
Load More