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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

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When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?

Dec 2036
→←2.6 years this week

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will a company with 1 employee achieve a $1 billion valuation before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

What percentage of companies will report that at least 11% of their revenues is due to the use of generative AI in 2029?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

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Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How quickly will companies put novel generative AI capabilities to use in 2029?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

What will be the initial installation size of GTA VI on PlayStation 5 at launch?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

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Metaculus Cup