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Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?

148 forecasters

15

A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?

5

How many earthquakes of magnitude 5 or stronger will occur worldwide in May 2018?

4

IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

13

What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?

8

The Colorado River and the Southwestern US Under Climate Change

9

Metaculus Journal Archives

If the SF Bay Area is struck with magnitude 7.8 or higher earthquake by 2052, how many people will die?

10

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

8

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

6

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

When will the next volcanic eruption on the Reykjanes Peninsula in Iceland begin?

Resolved :Above upper bound

5

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆