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Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?
Resolved :
No
166 forecasters
15
12 comments
12
China and Global Cooperation
Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
297 forecasters
31
23 comments
23
Ukraine Conflict
Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
57 forecasters
5
45 comments
45
Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
25%
74 forecasters
16
35 comments
35
Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?
5%
40 forecasters
5
4 comments
4
Will the U.S. reinstate its nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile program before 2030?
Resolved :
Yes
24 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
9.4%
16 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
58.5%
14 forecasters
1
3 comments
3