Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?
2027-12-06
607 forecasters
91
73 comments
73
AGI Outcomes
The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec
2 comments
2
AI Progress Essay Contest
condition
US restricts compute before 2026?
12 forecasters
if yes
if no
Date AIs Capable of Developing AI Software
2031-02-21
Date AIs Capable of Developing AI Software
2027-08-22
4
1 comment
1