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12
comments
48
forecasters
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
result
No
21
comments
19
forecasters
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
United Kingdom
result:
Yes
United States
result:
Yes
Zambia
result:
Yes
12 others
55
comments
45
forecasters
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
This question is closed for forecasting.
10
comments
35
forecasters
Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024?
result
No
9
comments
39
forecasters
Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?
result
No
3
comments
17
forecasters
What will be CDC's highest assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public before January 1, 2025?
Low
result:
Yes
Moderate
1%
Very Low
0.1%
2 others
0%
condition
Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States)
Resolved:
Yes
12
forecasters
if yes
if no
HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?
5%
5%
Resolved:
No
HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?
1%
1%
Resolved:
Annulled
2
0
comments
12
12
forecasters
Conditional Cup
5
comments
11
forecasters
If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
community
1.11
result
Annulled