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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
9 comments
91 forecasters

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

Current estimate
185 $
11 comments
72 forecasters

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026?

75%chance
5% today
11 comments
83 forecasters

Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100?

3%chance
22% this week
4 comments
58 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026?

36%chance
15 comments
86 forecasters

Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat?

6%chance
10% this week
2 comments
4 forecasters

When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?

Current estimate
>Jan 2034
0 comments
5 forecasters

Will U.S. District Judge Eleanor L. Ross leave office before 2027?

50%chance
5 comments
37 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

66%chance
4% this week
20 comments
80 forecasters

Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026?

73.5%chance
0 comments
14 forecasters

How many of the top 2026 AI labs will reference animal welfare in their models' guidelines at the end of 2034?

119.8%
227%
317.3%
412.9%
2 comments
7 forecasters

Will OpenAI either have a valuation of less than $200bn USD or have filed for bankruptcy before January 1, 2028?

8%chance
0 comments
20 forecasters

Will plant-based meat and seafood reach 10% of US retail packaged meat dollar sales before 2031?

7%chance
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