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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
0 comments
5 forecasters

Will any personnel of the International Stabilization Force be deployed into Gaza before August 25, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealednext week
%chance
20 comments
116 forecasters

Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

63%chance
50% this week
0 comments
3 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?

45-89
18.5%
90-134
19.1%
135-179
24.4%
180
26.6%
2 others
6 comments
3 forecasters

Will the United States' share of major arms exports decrease by more than 15% between 2024 and 2030?

50%chance
0 comments
9 forecasters

Will a bot finish in the top 5 of the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

98%chance
1 comment
48 forecasters

How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally?

Current estimate
492k Vehicles
1 comment
1 forecaster

Will Chinese regulators mandate the removal of Love and Deepspace before July 1, 2027?

1%chance
5 comments
57 forecasters

What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?

Current estimate
776 Hospitalizations
0 comments
7 forecasters

When will OpenAI IPO?

Current estimate
06 May 2027
0 comments
2 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia for July 2026?

Current estimate
4.4%
4 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026?

Current estimate
645k ha
0 comments
8 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
08 Jan 2027
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