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BrunoParga

Predictions1298

Comments1298

Member SinceJune 2016

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by BrunoParga

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56 forecasters

Will there be a global-level mechanism for distribution of benefits of AI before January 1, 2030?

3%chance

Will at least 1.5% of the population have a doctoral degree?

%chance

3 forecasters

Will at least 45% of the population aged 25-34 have higher education?

80%chance

Will at least 80% of the population have professional or vocational education?

%chance

7 forecasters

When will Rail Baltica begin commercial operation between Tallinn and Warsaw?

Current estimate

Nov 2032

574 forecasters

How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?

2 or fewer

0.1%

3 to 5

0.1%

6 to 8

result: Yes

9 to 11

11.3%

2 others

1 forecaster

Will at least 25% of the population participate in formal and non-formal learning?

80%chance

Will more than 65% of energy come from renewable sources?

%chance

Will at least 80% of the population take part in cultural activities?

%chance

Will at least 94% of the population consider Estonia a safe country?

%chance

335 forecasters

Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025?

resultNo

6 forecasters

Will Lebanon elect a President on January 9, 2025?

resultYes

15 forecasters

Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?

resultYes

28 forecasters

Will Atlético Mineiro win the 2024 Copa Libertadores?

resultNo

6 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Will the Botswana Democratic Party win the 2024 general election?

resultNo

24 forecasters

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

resultNo