datscilly
Predictions16344
Comments341
Member SinceAugust 2017
Tournaments
ACX 2024 Prediction ContestRank: #9 out of 1340
ACX 2025 Prediction ContestRank: #6 out of 2988
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #4 out of 838
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #7 out of 714
White Hat CyberRank: #4 out of 311
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25Rank: #2 out of 477
Alt-Protein TournamentRank: #3 out of 289
Global Pulse TournamentRank: #2 out of 314
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24Rank: #2 out of 212
Global Trends 2022Rank: #15 out of 1782
🏆 Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #12 out of 620
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #15 out of 840
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #16 out of 1002
Nuclear Risk TournamentRank: #8 out of 669
🏆 Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #5 out of 373
Forecasting AI ProgressRank: #14 out of 264
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2025Rank: #104 out of 3214
Future PerfectRank: #83 out of 3064
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰Rank: #42 out of 905
FluSight Challenge 2023/24Rank: #3 out of 27
ACX 2023 Prediction ContestRank: #67 out of 1352
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #22 out of 756
Conditional CupRank: #18 out of 352
Peer Accuracy
2016 - 2025Rank: #46 out of 9171
2021 - 2025Rank: #16 out of 7103
2016 - 2020Rank: #11 out of 4860
2024 - 2025Rank: #43 out of 4762
2020 - 2021Rank: #3 out of 2750
2018 - 2019Rank: #3 out of 1148
2021 - 2022Rank: #23 out of 2984
2023 - 2024Rank: #8 out of 3549
2021Rank: #12 out of 2053
2020Rank: #1 out of 2118
2019Rank: #2 out of 699
2018Rank: #2 out of 1706
2023Rank: #58 out of 3409
2025Rank: #120 out of 8769
2022 - 2023Rank: #119 out of 5230
2022Rank: #107 out of 4164
2024Rank: #123 out of 3948
Baseline Accuracy
2016 - 2025Rank: #1 out of 9171
2021 - 2025Rank: #4 out of 7103
2016 - 2020Rank: #5 out of 4860
2024 - 2025Rank: #3 out of 4762
2021 - 2022Rank: #12 out of 2984
2018 - 2019Rank: #1 out of 1148
2022 - 2023Rank: #11 out of 5230
2020 - 2021Rank: #1 out of 2750
2023 - 2024Rank: #2 out of 3549
2023Rank: #6 out of 3409
2025Rank: #43 out of 8770
2022Rank: #15 out of 4165
2021Rank: #3 out of 2053
2024Rank: #3 out of 3948
2020Rank: #1 out of 2118
2019Rank: #1 out of 699
2018Rank: #1 out of 1706
Question Writing
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