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Few Sample Statistics and Forecasting GPT-5

14

Metaculus Journal Archives

27 forecasters

What will be the value of C-band spectrum auctioned off by the FCC in Auction 107?

community

92.6B

result

81.11448192B

125 forecasters

Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if they do so before 2026?

resultNo

32 forecasters

Before 30 November 2019, will it be announced that the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) free trade agreement negotiations have concluded?

resultNo

52 forecasters

Will the Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Aramco) have an IPO before 30 November 2019?

resultNo

55 forecasters

Before 30 November 2019, will Germany's Bundestag adopt a bill that would impose a fine on parents who refuse a measles vaccine for their children?

resultYes

43 forecasters

Will Oman be removed from the EU list of non-cooperative tax jurisdictions between 20 June 2019 and 31 October 2019?

resultNo

53 forecasters

Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania?

resultNo

47 forecasters

Will the International Crisis Group report a deteriorated situation for Iran in July 2019?

resultNo

46 forecasters

Between 23 May 2019 and 30 July 2019, will the Spanish monarch appoint a President of the Government?

resultNo