katifish
Predictions17822
Comments333
Member SinceMay 2019
Tournaments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025Rank: #6 out of 594
ACX 2024 Prediction ContestRank: #2 out of 1340
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2025Rank: #3 out of 3214
ACX 2025 Prediction ContestRank: #19 out of 2988
Alt-Protein TournamentRank: #1 out of 289
Future PerfectRank: #16 out of 3064
Bright Line WatchRank: #2 out of 60
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰Rank: #33 out of 905
ACX 2023 Prediction ContestRank: #58 out of 1352
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #38 out of 840
Nuclear Risk TournamentRank: #29 out of 669
Peer Accuracy
2016 - 2025Rank: #33 out of 9171
2021 - 2025Rank: #25 out of 7103
2016 - 2020Rank: #20 out of 4860
2024 - 2025Rank: #18 out of 4762
2023 - 2024Rank: #32 out of 3549
2023Rank: #24 out of 3409
2020Rank: #13 out of 2118
2024Rank: #11 out of 3948
2021 - 2022Rank: #35 out of 2984
2025Rank: #99 out of 8769
2022 - 2023Rank: #113 out of 5230
2022Rank: #143 out of 4164
2021Rank: #70 out of 2053
2019Rank: #26 out of 699
Baseline Accuracy
2016 - 2025Rank: #17 out of 9171
2016 - 2020Rank: #35 out of 4860
2021 - 2025Rank: #20 out of 7103
2024 - 2025Rank: #34 out of 4762
2021 - 2022Rank: #14 out of 2984
2025Rank: #25 out of 8770
2022Rank: #43 out of 4165
2022 - 2023Rank: #88 out of 5230
2023Rank: #54 out of 3409
2020Rank: #38 out of 2118
2023 - 2024Rank: #162 out of 3549
2024Rank: #144 out of 3948
2019Rank: #31 out of 699
Question Writing
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Comments