MaxR

Predictions3237

Comments379

Member SinceSeptember 2019

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by MaxR

6 comments

12 forecasters

Will Germany, Italy, and Australia establish dedicated AI Safety Institutes before 2027?

Germany65%

Italy20%

Australia66%

2 comments

11 forecasters

Which party will lead the next German government?

CDU/CSU74.9%

SPD16.1%

AfD5%

12 comments

7 forecasters

What percentage of all 2024 Fortune 500 companies are still listed in 2030?

Current estimate

78.4

16 comments

11 forecasters

What will Bangladesh's World Press Freedom Index rating be for 2025?

Very serious <40 pointsresult: Yes

Difficult: 40–55 points40%

Problematic: 55–70 points5%

9 comments

10 forecasters

Will women aged 50 or older birth more than 10,000 children in the US in the following years?

35 comments

70 forecasters

Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany before 2030?

12%chance

6 comments

74 forecasters

Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?

1%chance

25 comments

26 forecasters

Which alliance will form the 2024 EU Commission?

EPP + S&D + REAnnulled

EPP + S&D + RE + G/EFAAnnulled

EPP + S&D + G/EFAAnnulled

13 comments

12 forecasters

What will OpenAI's estimated Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) be in 2024?

Latest estimate

4.07B

This question is closed for forecasting.

34 comments

101 forecasters

Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025?

resultNo