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DerMannOhneEigenschaften
Predictions
535
Comments
85
Member Since
January 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by DerMannOhneEigenschaften
4 comments
8 forecasters
How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024?
7 comments
8 forecasters
How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024?
9 comments
12 forecasters
Will Huada Empyrean be publicly traded in 2026?
Annulled
1 comment
16 forecasters
How much of major electronic design automation (EDA) companies' revenue will come from the Chinese market in the last quarter of 2025?
community
18.5%
result
10.454%
0 comments
45 forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?
27%
chance
6 comments
16 forecasters
How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market?
2 comments
53 forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
Nvidia
3.6%
AMD
1.5%
Google
1%
7 comments
66 forecasters
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
51%
chance
2 comments
61 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
10%
Amazon Web Services
5.8%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Google Cloud
2.1%
2 comments
58 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
8%
Amazon Web Services
4%
Microsoft Azure
4%
Google Cloud
1%
2 comments
49 forecasters
Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?
98%
chance
10 comments
52 forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
99.9%
≤3 nm
87%
≤2 nm
45%
1 comment
25 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
22%
AMEC
16.6%
Naura
16%
Nata
8%
3 comments
63 forecasters
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?
16%
chance
1 comment
55 forecasters
Will a Chinese firm market an EUV photolithography machine before 2033?
95%
chance
1 comment
36 forecasters
Will a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?
60%
chance