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beala
Predictions
877
Comments
301
Member Since
February 2020
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Overview
Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by beala
4 comments
Metaculus Virtual Meetup - April 2021
2 comments
Metaculus Virtual Meetup - January 2021
239 comments
800 forecasters
Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?
5%
chance
Key Factors
Trump's Insurrection Act statement
Marines deployed to Los Angeles
48 comments
187 forecasters
Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?
result
Yes
3 comments
Metaculus Virtual Meetup - December 2020
41 comments
91 forecasters
Will the border conflict between India and China escalate to a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives before 2021?
result
No
7 comments
62 forecasters
Will at least 500 Indians die in clashes along the border with the Chinese military before 2021?
result
No
14 comments
29 forecasters
Will the border conflict between India and China result in a death before 2021?
result
Yes