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beala

Predictions877

Comments301

Member SinceFebruary 2020

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Metaculus Virtual Meetup - April 2021

Metaculus Virtual Meetup - January 2021

800 forecasters

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

5%chance

Key Factors

Trump's Insurrection Act statement
Marines deployed to Los Angeles

187 forecasters

Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?

resultYes

Metaculus Virtual Meetup - December 2020

91 forecasters

Will the border conflict between India and China escalate to a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives before 2021?

resultNo

62 forecasters

Will at least 500 Indians die in clashes along the border with the Chinese military before 2021?

resultNo

29 forecasters

Will the border conflict between India and China result in a death before 2021?

resultYes