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Haifisch
Predictions
792
Comments
7
Member Since
February 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Haifisch
32 comments
113 forecasters
When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?
Current estimate
28 Jul 2026
20 comments
68 forecasters
Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?
result
No
29 comments
157 forecasters
Will an oracle superintelligence be developed before a general superintelligence?
72%
chance