Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?

What is the top SWE-Bench Verified score on the following dates?

What is the top MMLU score on the following dates?

What is the top GPQA score on the following dates?

Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?

Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Will Josh Silverman continue to be CEO of Etsy until 2029?

Will Vladimir Tenev continue to be CEO of RobinHood until 2029?

Will the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) fine a second company for violating its anti-space debris rule before 2025?

What will be the Xclaim market price for FTX accounts, as a % of account balance, on April 1, 2024?

Will Biden's approval rating with Americans aged 18 - 29 increase by the spring of 2024?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

This question is closed for forecasting.

Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?