Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?

What is the top SWE-Bench Verified score on the following dates?

What is the top MMLU score on the following dates?

What is the top GPQA score on the following dates?

Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?

Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?

Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season?

Will Josh Silverman continue to be CEO of Etsy until 2029?

Will Vladimir Tenev continue to be CEO of RobinHood until 2029?

Will the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) fine a second company for violating its anti-space debris rule before 2025?

What will be the Xclaim market price for FTX accounts, as a % of account balance, on April 1, 2024?

Will Biden's approval rating with Americans aged 18 - 29 increase by the spring of 2024?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

Labour Majority After Next UK Election? → More than 200k UK houses built?

This question is closed for forecasting.

Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election?

Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

Will the US sanction Venezuelan oil again by 2030?

Will Berkshire Hathaway pay a dividend before 2027?

Will the Executive Order on the Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be revoked or materially amended before November 2028?

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

Will Biden's 538 approval rating be above the following values on the following days?

Will Mark Zuckerberg remain as CEO of Meta Platforms until October 21, 2031?

Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

In what year will the XTX AI International Math Olympiad main prize be won?