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shibboleth
Predictions
271
Comments
138
Member Since
February 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by shibboleth
20 comments
65 forecasters
Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?
community
2.8
result
-28
17 comments
22 forecasters
What proportion of the 20 largest Chinese corporations' revenue will be state-owned in 2035?
Current estimate
86.2%
34 comments
43 forecasters
What percentage of seats will Labour hold after the 2020 New Zealand general election?
community
51.9
result
53.33
9 comments
38 forecasters
What will China's unemployment rate be for Q1 2021?
community
4.12
result
3.94
10 comments
82 forecasters
When will China legalise same-sex marriage?
Current estimate
Jul 2052
14 comments
63 forecasters
If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?
Current estimate
37.4 °
16 comments
49 forecasters
If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?
Current estimate
83.5 °
18 comments
93 forecasters
When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?
Current estimate
03 Jul 2027
37 comments
141 forecasters
Out of the 25 largest U.S companies by revenue, how many will file for bankruptcy between March 2020 to March 2024?
community
0.235
result
0
21 comments
137 forecasters
Will the USD be the dominant global reserve currency in 2050?
40%
chance
8 comments
17 forecasters
What will North Korea's merchandise trade as a % of GDP be in 2045 per the most recent World Bank data?
Current estimate
83.8%
43 comments
97 forecasters
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
Current estimate
5.28 states