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j.m.
Predictions
2747
Comments
439
Member Since
February 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by j.m.
4 comments
17 forecasters
Who will win the Tour de France 2026?
Tadej Pogačar
result:
Yes
Remco Evenepoel
1%
Other
0.3%
Paul Seixas
0.2%
3 others
13 comments
225 forecasters
Who will win the Tour de France 2025?
Tadej Pogačar
result:
Yes
Jonas Vingegaard
2%
Remco Evenepoel
0.1%
Primož Roglič
0.1%
3 others
3 comments
7 forecasters
When will high-speed rail connect Los Angeles and Las Vegas?
Current estimate
Nov 2032
23 comments
16 forecasters
When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?
0
12 comments
12 forecasters
When will congestion pricing go into effect in New York City?
community
21 Mar 2025
result
05 Jan 2025 05:00 UTC
3 comments
4 forecasters
When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?
Current estimate
>Jul 2040
12 comments
69 forecasters
When will room-temperature and -pressure superconductivity be achieved?
Current estimate
May 2052
21 comments
30 forecasters
When will iPhones in the US have USB-C ports?
community
01 Oct 2023
result
22 Sep 2023 12:00 UTC
5 comments
24 forecasters
How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2022?
community
56.9
result
57
24 comments
36 forecasters
[Short-Fuse] What proportion of last-round votes will Eric Adams get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?
community
50.5
result
50.4
5 comments
30 forecasters
When will zettascale computing be achieved?
Current estimate
Aug 2037
4 comments
37 forecasters
How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?
Latest estimate
15.8
This question is closed for forecasting.
4 comments
35 forecasters
When, if ever, will 17 year olds vote in the US?
Current estimate
Mar 2059
19 comments
91 forecasters
When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?
community
06 Nov 2022
result
More than 31 Dec 2022 00:00
19 comments
81 forecasters
When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?
community
18 Apr 2021 16:04
result
15 Apr 2021 12:00 UTC
25 comments
116 forecasters
When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?
community
19 Jun 2021
result
31 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC