Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

aristophanes

Predictions10284

Comments65

Member SinceMarch 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by aristophanes

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

74 forecasters

Will the next COVID VOC be milder than Omicron?

Annulled

386 forecasters

How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022?

community

6.63M

result

5.914M

49 forecasters

Will Evergrande default on its debt before the end of 2021?

resultYes