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JamesEvans

Predictions581

Comments39

Member SinceMarch 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by JamesEvans

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6 forecasters

Will there be broad scientific consensus that herpes viruses are implicated in the pathogenesis of dementia, before 2040?

50%chance

19 forecasters

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

51%chance

14 forecasters

When will Winifred Wagner's correspondence with Adolph Hitler be published?

Current estimate

Apr 2042

34 forecasters

What will be the highest US debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of 2023?

community

136

result

Annulled

44 forecasters

When will Croatia adopt the euro?

community

08 Jan 2023

result

31 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC

36 forecasters

When will the first 100 million digit prime number be discovered?

Current estimate

Nov 2031

52 forecasters

When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?

Current estimate

Jun 2047