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AvrahamEisenberg
Predictions
2645
Comments
389
Member Since
August 2020
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by AvrahamEisenberg
17 comments
71 forecasters
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
result
Yes
21 comments
82 forecasters
Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?
result
No
31 comments
92 forecasters
Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023?
result
No
13 comments
104 forecasters
Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024?
result
No
16 comments
65 forecasters
Will anyone make over $1M/year as a solo Substack author before 2024?
Ambiguous
11 comments
112 forecasters
Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024?
result
No
6 comments
41 forecasters
Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?
result
No
25 comments
69 forecasters
Will Bill Gates fund a brain-computer interface company before 2031?
result
Yes
11 comments
96 forecasters
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?
result
Yes
19 comments
70 forecasters
Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?
Ambiguous
26 comments
40 forecasters
Will the Open Courts Act become law?
result
No
27 comments
189 forecasters
Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?
4%
chance
39 comments
78 forecasters
Will AstraZeneca's vaccine turn out to be significantly more effective with a 1.5 dose compared to 2 full doses?
Ambiguous
119 comments
202 forecasters
Will any states flip from the current projected winner?
result
No
13 comments
51 forecasters
Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?
44.9%
chance
15 comments
37 forecasters
Will a high profile criminal investigation take down a "hidden website" on the Tor Network during 2021?
result
Yes