Joker

Predictions6113

Comments2443

Member SinceOctober 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by Joker

8 forecasters

Will the Arizona Coyotes rejoin the NHL by 2029?

30.3%chance

43 forecasters

Will the following NBA players make the Hall of Fame?

Jayson Tatum97%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander97%

Victor Wembanyama90%

Jimmy Butler89%

8 others

20 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?

resultYes

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

39 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

17%chance

22 forecasters

Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?

United States93%

China75%

Any EU country64%

Japan50%

Russia50%

26 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

23%chance

34 forecasters

Will the following cities receive an NBA expansion franchise before 2030?

Seattle90%

Las Vegas88%

Mexico City10%

Kansas City8%

9 others

64 forecasters

Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?

16%chance

37 forecasters

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%chance

63 forecasters

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

96%chance

26 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

29%chance

36 forecasters

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

18%chance

23 forecasters

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

10%chance

20 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

30%chance

21 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

29.5%chance

30 forecasters

Will Argentina invade the Falkland Islands (again) before these dates?

20300.9%

20350.7%

20502.9%

127 forecasters

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

20302%

2024result: No

2025result: No

60 forecasters

Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals?

Boston Celticsresult: Yes

Denver Nuggetsresult: No

Dallas Mavericksresult: No

Minnesota Timberwolvesresult: No

26 others

20 forecasters

Will Cooper Flagg make the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame before 2060?

30%chance

33 forecasters

Will Bud Light cease production by 2026?

resultNo

18 forecasters

Will Derrick Rose make the Hall of Fame?

33%chance

15 forecasters

Will Victor Wembanyama make the NBA All-Star Game in his rookie season?

resultNo