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Joker

Predictions6113

Comments2443

Member SinceOctober 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by Joker

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6 forecasters

Will the Arizona Coyotes rejoin the NHL by 2029?

21.4%chance

43 forecasters

Will the following NBA players make the Hall of Fame?

Jayson Tatum

97%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

97%

Victor Wembanyama

90%

Jimmy Butler

89%

8 others

20 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?

resultYes

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Birth Rates in the Modern World

Forecast Factors: Drivers of Interstate Wars in the Modern World

37 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

17%chance

23 forecasters

Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?

United States

93%

China

75%

Any EU country

55%

Japan

50%

Russia

50%

24 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%chance

34 forecasters

Will the following cities receive an NBA expansion franchise before 2030?

Las Vegas

88%

Seattle

78%

Mexico City

10%

Kansas City

8%

9 others

62 forecasters

Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070?

18%chance

34 forecasters

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%chance

63 forecasters

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

95%chance

2% this week

24 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

29%chance

4% this week

35 forecasters

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%chance

5% this week

22 forecasters

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

12%chance

19 forecasters

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

31.9%chance