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Predictions46495
Comments9839
Member SinceOctober 2020
Tournaments
ACX 2025 Prediction ContestRank: #28 out of 2988
ACX 2023 Prediction ContestRank: #12 out of 1352
Future PerfectRank: #5 out of 3064
Economist 2021Rank: #9 out of 542
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #11 out of 714
Keep Virginia Safe II: Variant Characteristics SeriesRank: #2 out of 28
Nuclear Risk TournamentRank: #11 out of 669
Biosecurity Tournament Short-TermRank: #6 out of 277
Keep Virginia Safe II: Hospitalizations SeriesRank: #2 out of 44
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2025Rank: #80 out of 3214
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆Rank: #22 out of 840
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25Rank: #18 out of 477
Global Trends 2022Rank: #74 out of 1782
Peer Accuracy
Baseline Accuracy
2016 - 2025Rank: #47 out of 9171
2021 - 2025Rank: #8 out of 7103
2024 - 2025Rank: #12 out of 4762
2021 - 2022Rank: #10 out of 2984
2022 - 2023Rank: #5 out of 5230
2023 - 2024Rank: #6 out of 3549
2023Rank: #8 out of 3409
2025Rank: #74 out of 8770
2022Rank: #5 out of 4165
2021Rank: #15 out of 2053
2024Rank: #20 out of 3948
2020 - 2021Rank: #48 out of 2750
Question Writing
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