Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

JBerman

Predictions760

Comments1

Member SinceNovember 2020

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by JBerman

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

44 forecasters

Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

15%chance

41 forecasters

Will Bitcoin’s price drop below 50% of its highest recorded price at any point before 2040?

resultYes

3 forecasters

What will be the Shiller P/E Ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2030?

Current estimate

32.1

71 forecasters

When will Elon Musk be succeeded as CEO of Twitter?

community

20 Jun 2023

result

05 Jun 2023 07:13 UTC

26 forecasters

When will the Total Fertility Rate in the United States reach 2.1 (the level conventionally associated with replacement fertility)?

Current estimate

>Jan 2073

17 forecasters

What will be the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 on January 1, 2025?

community

36.2

result

37.37