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ege_erdil
Predictions
1855
Comments
168
Member Since
December 2020
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Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by ege_erdil
Hyperbolic takeoff
7
5 comments
5
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?
61%
chance
Sums and Products
11
4 comments
4
Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?
12.3%
chance
When will the abc conjecture be settled?
Feb 2036
Is the abc conjecture true?
91%
chance
Phase transitions and AGI
15
5 comments
5
AI Progress Essay Contest
Computability and Complexity
16
1 comment
1
Metaculus Journal Archives
When will P = NP be settled?
2076
In 2040, what will be the smallest value of the busy beaver function known to be undecidable in ZFC set theory?
59.8
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