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RyanBeck
Predictions
8973
Comments
4878
Member Since
February 2021
occupation
Forecasting Program Coordinator at Metaculus
links
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Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by RyanBeck
3 comments
4 forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? → What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision?
1 comment
3 forecasters
What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision?
Current estimate
8.93%
0 comments
42 forecasters
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
2%
chance
2%
this week
1 comment
25 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
Democrats
59.6%
Republicans
38.7%
Other
1.7%
0 comments
14 forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they became president at any point in the following years?
1 comment
18 forecasters
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
Current estimate
04 Feb 2027
1 comment
21 forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
-18.5%
1 comment
15 forecasters
What will the average interest rate on the US federal government's total debt be at the end of these fiscal years?
1 comment
21 forecasters
How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
Current estimate
4.78 Officials
4 comments
Labor Automation Forecasting Hub Forum
6 comments
Introducing: Conflict-Driven Interest
0 comments
1 forecaster
Is Metaculus' Conflict-Driven Interest program an April Fool's joke?
result
Yes
4 comments
22 forecasters
What will the well-being ratio (resources to poverty threshold) be for the 20th-percentile US family in the following years?
0 comments
31 forecasters
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation before the following years?
0 comments
136 forecasters
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027?
1%
chance
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook February Update: Measles Expected to Climb to 30-Year Peak
0 comments
Winners of the Colombia Wage Watch Tournament
9 comments
29 forecasters
What will the labor share of national income (%) be in the US in the following years?
5 comments
33 forecasters
What will be the average weekly hours worked in the United States in the following years?
21 comments
Bridgewater x Metaculus Contest 2026 Welcome + Q&A
15 comments
Bridgewater x Metaculus 2026 winners to be announced soon!
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook January Update: Imminent Peak and Rising Measles
0 comments
21 forecasters
Will Sam Hammond win his bet with John Luttig that US GDP growth will average above 5% from 2028 to 2033?
28%
chance
21 comments
Market Pulse 26Q1 Opening Bell: Building Consistent Signal
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