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RyanBeck
Predictions
8985
Comments
4878
Member Since
February 2021
occupation
Forecasting Program Coordinator at Metaculus
links
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Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
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Questions
Questions by RyanBeck
5 comments
4 forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? → What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision?
2 comments
5 forecasters
What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision?
community
8.27%
result
16.98%
0 comments
109 forecasters
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
2%
chance
1 comment
80 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
Democrats
64.4%
Republicans
33.6%
Other
2%
0 comments
3 forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they became president at any point in the following years?
1 comment
51 forecasters
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
Current estimate
13 Apr 2027
1 comment
74 forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
-18.6%
1 comment
48 forecasters
What will the average interest rate on the US federal government's total debt be at the end of these fiscal years?
1 comment
64 forecasters
How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
Current estimate
4.48 Officials
7 comments
Labor Automation Forecasting Hub Forum
6 comments
Introducing: Conflict-Driven Interest
0 comments
1 forecaster
Is Metaculus' Conflict-Driven Interest program an April Fool's joke?
result
Yes
9 comments
22 forecasters
What will the well-being ratio (resources to poverty threshold) be for the 20th-percentile US family in the following years?
0 comments
32 forecasters
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation before the following years?
0 comments
137 forecasters
Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2027?
0.1%
chance
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook February Update: Measles Expected to Climb to 30-Year Peak
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