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DaAdCh
Predictions
11776
Comments
261
Member Since
September 2021
location
UK
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by DaAdCh
0 comments
2 forecasters
How many seats will the Ädilet party win in the 2026 Kazakh legislative election?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 1 hour
2 comments
49 forecasters
Will the United States launch an attack against JNIM in Mali during August 2026?
20%
chance
Key Factors
Junta Sovereignty & Anti-Western Stance
Russian Airspace Presence
JNIM’s Territorial Expansion
4 comments
62 forecasters
What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?
Current estimate
855 Hospitalizations
0 comments
4 forecasters
How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?
45-89
12.2%
90-134
22.4%
135-179
15.3%
180
36.9%
2 others
6 comments
64 forecasters
What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026?
Current estimate
648k ha
Key Factors
Ongoing fires in France and Spain
2 comments
4 forecasters
Will Dharmendra Pradhan cease to be India's Minister of Education before 2027?
result
Yes
3 comments
72 forecasters
What will UK Labour Party's 7-poll moving average percent be on August 31, 2026?
Current estimate
>23.6%
Key Factors
Competition from Reform UK limits Labour gains
Labour polling at 22% suggests modest recovery
8 comments
79 forecasters
How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026?
13 or fewer
26.6%
14
32.8%
15
26.4%
16
10%
3 others
Key Factors
Micron, Eli Lilly, Berkshire Hathaway risk dropping
Incumbent companies have thin valuation cushions
Potential entrants require significant valuation gains
11 comments
89 forecasters
What percentage of the vote will Nigel Farage receive in the Clacton parliamentary by-election in August 2026?
Current estimate
69.5%
1 comment
81 forecasters
Will the Government of Albania or Prime Minister Edi Rama resign before September 2026?
4%
chance
5 comments
10 forecasters
When will the WHO announce that the 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola PHEIC in DRC and Uganda is over?
Current estimate
20 May 2028
0 comments
83 forecasters
What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections?
Latest estimate
57.6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
3 forecasters
When will Midjourney open its first public "Spa"?
Current estimate
21 Feb 2029
0 comments
10 forecasters
What will the U.S. score on the Rule of Law Index in 2028, conditional on control of Congress?
Democratic Congress
0.678
Republican Congress
0.661
Split Congress
0.667
0 comments
17 forecasters
Will SpaceX make any acquisition valued at more than $100B before 2028?
37.2%
chance
9 comments
27 forecasters
When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible?
0
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