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Bervie
Predictions
1758
Comments
171
Member Since
January 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Bervie
22 comments
38 forecasters
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
community
02 Aug 2026
result
20 Jul 2026 05:00 UTC
7 comments
17 forecasters
Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?
result
Yes
4 comments
17 forecasters
Will England build at least 1.5 million new homes over the current parliamentary term?
0.1%
chance
15 comments
6 forecasters
Will NHS England deliver an extra two million operations, scans, and appointments each year within the current Westminster parliament?
80%
chance
10 comments
17 forecasters
Will the UK achieve an average annual GDP growth rate of 2.5% over the current parliamentary term?
9%
chance
4 comments
30 forecasters
Will the UK or France veto a United Nations Security Council resolution before 2051?
74%
chance
7 comments
43 forecasters
Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?
40%
chance
9 comments
17 forecasters
When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?
Current estimate
>01 Jan 2030
4 comments
10 forecasters
When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?
Current estimate
May 2037
8 comments
24 forecasters
Will the Pound Sterling (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD) reach parity before 2030?
5%
chance
7 comments
5 forecasters
What will the world’s median wealth per adult be for the year 2023, according to the UBS Global Wealth Report 2024?
community
9220
result
Ambiguous
11 comments
20 forecasters
When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?
community
<05 Nov 2024
result
Annulled
8 comments
14 forecasters
When will Microsoft release Windows 12?
community
>01 Jan 2026 00:00
result
More than 01 Jan 2026 00:00
15 comments
6 forecasters
When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?
Current estimate
Jun 2036