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ForkLeaf
Predictions
755
Comments
404
Member Since
September 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by ForkLeaf
30
comments
42
forecasters
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5%
chance
16
comments
27
forecasters
When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?
Current estimate
2112
28
comments
42
forecasters
If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?
12%
chance
3%
this week
1
comment
7
forecasters
When will a country first introduce an antimatter weapon in its armed forces?
Current estimate
>2200
11
comments
31
forecasters
Do we live in a false vacuum?
50%
chance
3
comments
3
forecasters
What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?
1
comment
49
forecasters
Will Walmart stores in the United States return to 24-hour service before 2026?
4%
chance
83
comments
402
forecasters
Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024?
result
No
4
comments
38
forecasters
When will Volodymyr Zelensky cease to hold the office of President of Ukraine?
Current estimate
20 Mar 2027
1
comment
19
forecasters
Will Russia purchase an American weapons system before 2050?
11%
chance
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