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Jacob314
Predictions
56
Comments
12
Member Since
September 2024
Overview
Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Jacob314
5
comments
19
forecasters
When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?
Current estimate
Sep 2035
9
comments
18
forecasters
When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?
Current estimate
27 Feb 2026
17
comments
19
forecasters
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Current estimate
Jan 2038