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30
comments
371
forecasters
Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?
1%
chance
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Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Dec 20, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 25, 2024
Future Perfect
Artificial Intelligence
🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
Sam Altman’s bet: Can OpenAI’s ambitions keep pace with industry’s soaring costs?
Guardian
•
Nov 10, 2025
DeepSeek researcher warns AI could wipe out jobs in 10 years — and tech companies should be 'guardians of humanity'
Business Insider
•
Nov 10, 2025
OpenAI's Sam Altman backtracks on CFO's government 'backstop' talk
NBC
•
Nov 7, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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