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30
comments
371
forecasters
Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?
1%
chance
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Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Dec 20, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 25, 2024
Future Perfect
Artificial Intelligence
🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
The godfather of Meta's AI thinks the AI boom is a dead end
Business Insider
•
Nov 17, 2025
Anthropic CEO Says He's Uneasy About Unelected Tech Leaders Shaping AI
Business Insider
•
Nov 17, 2025
Microsoft AI CEO calls artificial superintelligence an 'anti-goal'
Business Insider
•
Nov 17, 2025
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