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67 comments
2.1k forecasters

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

1%chance
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 27, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025
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What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?

-10.9
(-14.5 - -7.48)
-10.9
(-14.5 - -7.48)
147 forecasters

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

33% chance
1.1k

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?

25% chance
56
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