92.979 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
92.444 | Will there be at least 10,000 confirmed deaths due to H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
90.206 | Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023? | Binary |
88.396 | Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024? | Binary |
85.537 | Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before 2024? | Binary |
83.187 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
81.840 | Wagner Group Controls Moscow by July 1, 2023? (No) → Ukraine Controls DNR/LNR on Jan 1, 2024 | Binary |
76.105 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
69.317 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
68.804 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023? | Binary |
66.365 | Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself? | Binary |
65.969 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
55.541 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024? | Binary |
55.309 | Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023? | Binary |
52.705 | Russian Coup or Regime Change before 2024? (No) → Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? | Binary |
40.085 | Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
38.564 | Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023? | Binary |
38.372 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard in 2023? | Binary |
35.354 | Will an additional country ban ChatGPT before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
31.481 | Will Yevgeny Prigozhin be the functional leader of the Wagner Group on June 30, 2023? | Binary |
29.066 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
25.246 | Will General Sergei Surovikin be stripped of his command by July 11th? | Binary |
23.741 | Will Israel still be rated "Free" in the Freedom in the World 2024 Report (covering the year 2023)? | Binary |
23.238 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
19.435 | Will Google integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Search before August 1, 2023? | Binary |
4.446 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan) | Binary |
4.446 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Meral Akşener) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mansur Yavaş) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ekrem İmamoğlu) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Devlet Bahçeli) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Mustafa Sarıgül) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Doğu Perinçek) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Tansu Çiller) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Süleyman Soylu) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Abdullah Gül) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Fatih Erbakan) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Pervin Buldan) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Cem Uzan) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Muharrem İnce) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Sinan Oğan) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ahmet Davutoğlu) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Ali Babacan) | Binary |
1.407 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Temel Karamollaoğlu) | Binary |
1.406 | Who will win the 2023 Presidential Election in Türkiye (Turkey)? (Gültekin Uysal) | Binary |
0.060 | What percentage of the vote will Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Presidential Elections’ runoff? | Continuous |
-29.697 | Will voting in Twitter polls require verification on April 16, 2023? | Binary |