| 116.440 | When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
| 98.238 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 96.376 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.210 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.271 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.229 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 93.859 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.931 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 92.334 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 91.459 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.797 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 88.564 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 88.562 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.997 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.794 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 86.751 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 84.633 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 84.481 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 84.399 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 83.477 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.818 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.653 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 79.123 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 78.524 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 75.740 | Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025 (No) → Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025? | Binary |
| 75.408 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 74.107 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.793 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.703 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 73.369 | Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term? | Binary |
| 71.011 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 69.410 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 67.806 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 66.871 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 65.997 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 64.607 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 61.314 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 61.189 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 58.108 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 56.859 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 52.726 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 50.209 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 50.209 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 50.209 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 48.409 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 48.409 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 48.409 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 48.352 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 48.347 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 48.290 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 48.191 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 47.652 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 45.251 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 42.676 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 41.312 | Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 41.014 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 39.076 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 38.239 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 35.715 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 34.078 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 31.324 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.207 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 29.698 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 29.270 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.680 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 27.116 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 25.763 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 25.763 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 25.663 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 25.626 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 25.478 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 25.410 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 25.019 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 24.882 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 24.789 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 24.207 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 23.658 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 22.903 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 22.811 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (R. Sunak (Tories)) | Binary |
| 22.168 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 19.865 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 18.217 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 18.146 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 18.062 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 16.889 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 14.743 | Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022? | Binary |
| 13.211 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 12.357 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 11.468 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 10.962 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 10.330 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 10.144 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 10.130 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 9.438 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 9.294 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 7.694 | When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100? | Continuous |
| 6.178 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 5.886 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 5.752 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 4.835 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.288 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 3.078 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
| 3.043 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
| 3.027 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 2.138 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (2: Candidacy granted) | Continuous |
| 1.913 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 1.891 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (DUP) | Continuous |
| 1.435 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 1.321 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrats) | Continuous |
| 1.021 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Conservative and Unionist Party) | Continuous |
| 0.913 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Green Party of England and Wales) | Continuous |
| 0.791 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (1: Candidacy recommended) | Continuous |
| 0.711 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 0.604 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (SDLP) | Continuous |
| 0.601 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| 0.561 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Sinn Féin) | Continuous |
| 0.537 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Plaid Cymru) | Continuous |
| 0.492 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 0.371 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 0.335 | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Labour Party) | Continuous |
| 0.113 | Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022? | Binary |
| 0.068 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 0.021 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| -0.049 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -0.071 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -0.091 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -1.138 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| -1.701 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| -2.793 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
| -3.515 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -10.978 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -11.394 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (3: Negotiations recommended) | Continuous |
| -15.469 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| -16.860 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -37.398 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -48.451 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| -50.865 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -71.206 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -78.110 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -108.014 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -304.180 | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |