86.498 | Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020? | Binary |
82.918 | Will online voting spread in the US before the next presidential election? | Binary |
76.482 | Will the Extreme Light Infrastructure facility come online as planned in 2018? | Binary |
75.952 | First attempted human head transplant by end of 2020? | Binary |
58.200 | All major causes of blindness preventable or treatable by 2020? | Binary |
57.081 | Will a personal computer based on "The Machine" technology be put to market by end of 2018? | Binary |
51.613 | Will a poker bot beat the best human players at online multi-player No Limit Texas HoldEm? | Binary |
48.519 | Are we in a simulated reality? Part I | Binary |
47.015 | 1 dollar/watt solar energy by 2020? | Binary |
45.815 | Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020? | Binary |
42.186 | Confirmation that hominids existed in North America prior to 100,000 BC? | Binary |
41.019 | Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2018? | Binary |
36.583 | Will AirBnB will go public before 2019? | Binary |
32.897 | Will North Korea test-launch an ICBM by the end of 2018? | Binary |
31.169 | Will Tesla go out of business before 2019? | Binary |
30.877 | Will the hole in the Ozone layer shrink in the next 5 years? | Binary |
30.154 | How strong will the winning effort of the Ocean Discovery X-PRIZE be? | Binary |
26.161 | Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019? | Binary |
24.094 | Will we keep the global temperature rise by 2020 to < 1° C? | Binary |
20.195 | When will an AI system score an impressive defeat of a professional human in Starcraft 2? | Continuous |
13.605 | When will a commercial enterprise put a human in orbit? | Continuous |
12.434 | Will Lockheed Martin and Skunkworks announce a successful test of a break-even compact fusion reactor by April 2019? | Binary |
10.908 | How many millimeters thick will the thinnest phone be in 2020? | Continuous |
9.661 | To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B? | Binary |
8.870 | To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else? | Binary |
8.861 | Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019? | Binary |
7.931 | Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018? | Binary |
5.769 | Pandemic series: federal funding of "gain of function research of concern" in 2016-18? | Binary |
5.399 | Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019? | Binary |
3.992 | A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious | Binary |
1.172 | Will radical new "low-energy nuclear reaction" technologies prove effective before 2019? | Binary |
0.833 | Will NASA (re)join the (e)LISA space mission for detecting gravitational waves? | Binary |
0.329 | Is solid metallic hydrogen metastable at room temperature? | Binary |
0.032 | Airships by 2019? | Binary |
- | Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021? | Binary |
-9.980 | When will the "large brain preservation" prize be awarded by the Brain Preservation Foundation? | Continuous |
-12.400 | By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term? | Binary |
-37.579 | Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018? | Binary |
-49.463 | Will the VITAL study show significant benefits of vitamin D and/or omega-3 supplementation? | Binary |
-53.183 | Winner in 2017 of the Lunar X-prize? | Binary |
-59.423 | Will rapid rocket reusability be demonstrated by 2021? | Binary |
-70.377 | Will the banana plague reach Latin America? | Binary |
-73.271 | A medical pathway to complete painlessness? | Binary |
-113.565 | A revival of interest in muon-catalyzed fusion? | Binary |
-130.649 | A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021? | Binary |