| 98.677 | Will the US government file a denaturalization lawsuit against Elon Musk before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 98.085 | Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026? | Binary |
| 96.381 | Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 95.456 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Switzerland) | Binary |
| 94.042 | Will Arizona Senator Mark Kelly, who urged troops to defy "illegal" orders, be recalled to active duty in the US military before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 91.456 | Will Jerome Powell cease to be Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before his term is up? | Binary |
| 88.832 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Jordan) | Binary |
| 88.045 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (ALNY) | Binary |
| 87.930 | Which podcast will receive the first ever "Best Podcast" Award at the 2026 Golden Globes? | Multiple Choice |
| 87.199 | Will Russia gain control of Kostiantynivka before January 11, 2026? | Binary |
| 82.352 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 80.647 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| 78.370 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (South Africa) | Binary |
| 77.915 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| 77.518 | Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage? | Binary |
| 76.064 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Sporting Lisbon) | Binary |
| 74.619 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (SOFI) | Binary |
| 74.241 | Will the US House of Representatives censure, expel or reprimand any of its members before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 71.320 | What will be the total median number of global under-5 child deaths reported in UNICEF's 2026 report for 2024? | Continuous |
| 70.726 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| 70.078 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (The United States (again)) | Binary |
| 68.372 | What will be the flu vaccine coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US? (Children 6 months to 17 years) | Continuous |
| 67.892 | Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 67.430 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| 67.231 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| 66.887 | In which of the following years will Finland be ranked as the happiest country by the World Happiness Report? (2026) | Binary |
| 66.641 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 66.438 | What will RSV immunization coverage for the 2025-26 season be among the following groups in the US? (Eligible pregnant women) | Continuous |
| 65.303 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on January 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 65.253 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Brighton And Hove Albion) | Continuous |
| 64.841 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 64.430 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Bodø/Glimt) | Binary |
| 64.172 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| 63.727 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Atalanta) | Binary |
| 63.629 | Will China request a WTO panel in its EV and battery-related trade dispute with India before January 11, 2026? | Binary |
| 62.762 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Mongolia) | Binary |
| 60.027 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 59.936 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 59.912 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Hungary) | Binary |
| 59.752 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (United Arab Emirates) | Binary |
| 59.337 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Binary |
| 59.337 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 59.003 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Chelsea) | Binary |
| 59.003 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Bayer Leverkusen) | Binary |
| 56.965 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Juventus) | Binary |
| 56.965 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Monaco) | Binary |
| 56.965 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 56.965 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Borusia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 56.658 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 56.592 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Olympiacos) | Binary |
| 56.592 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Club Brugge) | Binary |
| 56.592 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Qarabag) | Binary |
| 56.282 | What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 56.014 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| 55.466 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| 55.084 | Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 54.659 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Burnley) | Continuous |
| 53.647 | Who will win the 2025–2026 Premier League? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.825 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 51.363 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| 50.679 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 48.911 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 48.653 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 48.634 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 48.403 | Will an attempt be made to fire Jerome Powell before the end of his term? | Binary |
| 46.941 | Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before? | Binary |
| 46.494 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Ajax) | Binary |
| 46.494 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Union SG) | Binary |
| 46.494 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Marseille) | Binary |
| 46.494 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Pafos) | Binary |
| 46.494 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 46.494 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Athletic Club) | Binary |
| 43.791 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Eintrecht Frankfurt) | Binary |
| 43.791 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Kairat Almaty) | Binary |
| 43.791 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Slavia Praha) | Binary |
| 43.791 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Villareal) | Binary |
| 42.578 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 42.578 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 42.181 | Will Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson be the highest-paid actor in 2025? | Binary |
| 40.701 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 40.638 | Which countries will Vladimir Putin visit before July 1, 2026? (Turkey (Türkiye)) | Binary |
| 40.429 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Continuous |
| 40.008 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 39.929 | What percentage of U.S. electricity will come from renewable sources (wind, solar, hydro) in 2025? | Continuous |
| 39.279 | Will the H-1B visa lottery system be replaced with a nonrandom selection process for fiscal year 2027? | Binary |
| 39.271 | Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026? | Binary |
| 37.978 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 36.927 | What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US? (Children 6 months to 17 years) | Continuous |
| 36.479 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 35.460 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| 32.503 | Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| 30.923 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Continuous |
| 28.838 | Will Australia retain the Ashes in the 2025–2026 Test series? | Binary |
| 25.559 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Sunderland) | Continuous |
| 25.538 | Compared to FY 2024, what will the US government's funding for tuberculosis be in the following years? (FY 2025) | Continuous |
| 25.233 | Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026? | Binary |
| 25.073 | How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 24.920 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 24.913 | Will an AI created song chart on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027? | Binary |
| 24.372 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (VRT) | Binary |
| 20.759 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 20.616 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| 19.507 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for RSV for the following age groups in the 2025-2026 season? (≥65 years) | Continuous |
| 18.793 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 18.748 | What will the implied federal funds rate for December 9, 2026 be on January 10, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.464 | Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026? | Binary |
| 17.875 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Feb-26) | Continuous |
| 17.379 | Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027? | Binary |
| 15.840 | Will George Conway, vocal critic of Donald Trump, announce a run for the US Congress before April 2, 2026? | Binary |
| 15.444 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 14.493 | Will Anthropic file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 14.410 | How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study? | Continuous |
| 13.704 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for RSV for the following age groups in the 2025-2026 season? (0-4 years) | Continuous |
| 11.838 | What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 10.067 | When will Google first release Gemini 3.0? | Continuous |
| 9.995 | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-25) | Continuous |
| 9.256 | If Viktor Orbán leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister? | Binary |
| 7.624 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 5.929 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 5.916 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| 5.899 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| 5.898 | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| 5.648 | Will TikTok US be banned or sold during 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.883 | When will the U.S. Solicitor General file a CVSG brief in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Continuous |
| 4.316 | When will the following Magic: The Gathering cards first be banned in Standard format? (Vivi Ornitier) | Continuous |
| 4.201 | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.554 | Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors? | Binary |
| 2.505 | How many Grammys will Bad Bunny win at the 2026 Grammys? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.379 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jun-26) | Continuous |
| 0.564 | Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026? | Binary |
| 0.084 | Will Nicolás Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela during 2026? | Binary |
| 0.082 | Will the US stock market go down by more than 2% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| - | Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will Germany, Italy, and Australia establish dedicated AI Safety Institutes before 2027? (Australia) | Binary |
| - | Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| - | Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to protect the President, his family, or his allies from a legal case in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| - | Will a U.S. federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a federal court ruling in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| - | In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS strike down Louisiana’s two majority-Black districts, restoring a GOP-leaning map? | Binary |
| - | When will the huge plastic fly-tip in Oxfordshire, UK, be completely cleared? (Before May 14, 2026) | Binary |
| - | Will the US government enter a shutdown before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will the TrumpRx website be functional before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will Tessa Thompson or Wagner Moura win a Golden Globe in 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will the United States attack Venezuela during 2026? | Binary |
| - | Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026? | Binary |
| -0.000 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -4.779 | Will the United States attack Venezuela in December 2025 or January 2026? | Binary |
| -5.474 | If the U.S. Solicitor General files a CVSG brief in Monsanto v. Durnell, what will the recommendation be? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.318 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| -7.249 | Will the United States attack Nigeria before 2027? | Binary |
| -11.459 | When will the term of Israel's 25th Knesset end? | Continuous |
| -11.488 | Will at least 10 individuals affiliated with the U.S. president receive a presidential pardon or commutation in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -18.279 | Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -20.562 | What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026? | Continuous |
| -21.753 | Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026? | Binary |
| -23.130 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -34.480 | What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season? (H1N1) | Continuous |
| -36.703 | What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season? (H3N2) | Continuous |
| -38.310 | Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -40.019 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before April 1, 2026? (CIEN) | Binary |
| -40.049 | Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -40.428 | Will the ceasefire between the U.S. and Yemen’s Houthis mediated by Oman be broken before June 2026? | Binary |
| -45.474 | Will ChatGPT introduce ads before the end of the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| -60.087 | What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season? (H5) | Continuous |
| -69.354 | Labour Party leadership election before 2027? | Binary |
| -70.608 | Will Israel pass the Penal Bill (Death Penalty for Terrorists amendment) into law before April 2026? | Binary |
| -83.236 | Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years? (2025-2026) | Binary |
| -101.091 | Which team will win the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| -127.995 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 94% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before February 1, 2026? | Binary |